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Accident took place at least 10-13 Minutes earlier than officially reported - Four times more Water would have entered the Vessel in one Minute than officially reported "Presently, in March 2007, a few main findings can be summarized as: The bow visor was lost obviously already few minutes past one o'clock, and not at 01:15 h as in the JAIC Final Report. This difference is due to different interpretation of the survivors' testimonies. " Progress Report of "Research Study of the Sinking Sequence of MV Estonia" Hamburg Ship Model Basin (HSVA) March 9, 2007
This confirmed finding by two independent researchers changes everything in the official report. As the listing probably took place 10-13 minutes earlier than reported by the JAIC, there is now 19-22 minutes of time between the listing and the Mayday sent at 01.24 hrs in lieu of 9 minutes as reported by the JAIC. JAIC has reported a lot of events between 01.02-01.15 hrs based on the assumtion that the vessel was upright. All these events must now be pushed back to before 01.02 hrs but this is hardly possible as they contradict everything, e.g. the alleged change of watch at 01.00 hrs. Also there is much more time for crew action between listing and Mayday that now must be explained, e.g. why the crew waited 19-22 minutes to send the Mayday. Another finding (by SSPA Marine AB) February 2007 is that four (actually six) times more water would have entered the ship superstructure through the bow in event of a lost visor than stated by the JAIC. This means that the vessel would have capsized and floated upside down after only two minutes, if the visor was actually lost. These new findings change everything in the JAIC Final report and require a complete new re-hearing of the case.
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